BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Florida State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Florida State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.18 |
39.88 (+4.70) |
35.25 |
38.42 (+3.17) |
38.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
460.91 |
500.49 (+39.59) |
406.67 |
423.04 (+16.38) |
423.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
7.17 (+0.46) |
6.23 |
6.44 (+0.22) |
6.44 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.82 |
18.77 (-2.05) |
16.17 |
12.35 (-3.81) |
12.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.27 |
303.11 (-17.16) |
312.33 |
289.71 (-22.63) |
289.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.71 |
4.61 (-0.10) |
4.76 |
4.32 (-0.45) |
4.32 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-03 |
LSU |
40.60 |
29.90 |
-10.69 |
70.50 |
67.15% |
W 45-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Southern Mississippi |
57.20 |
8.08 |
-49.12 |
65.28 |
99.90% |
W 66-13 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Boston College |
43.21 |
15.01 |
-28.20 |
58.22 |
95.23% |
W 31-29 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Clemson |
24.67 |
17.52 |
-7.15 |
42.19 |
61.47% |
W 31-24 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Virginia Tech |
38.28 |
15.30 |
-22.98 |
53.58 |
86.85% |
W 39-17 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Syracuse |
38.35 |
8.98 |
-29.37 |
47.33 |
97.11% |
W 41-3 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Duke |
30.09 |
15.47 |
-14.63 |
45.56 |
73.46% |
W 38-20 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Wake Forest |
37.43 |
12.80 |
-24.62 |
50.23 |
89.49% |
W 41-16 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Pittsburgh |
36.32 |
10.05 |
-26.26 |
46.37 |
92.12% |
W 24-7 |
9-0 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Miami |
33.38 |
17.20 |
-16.18 |
50.57 |
75.95% |
W 27-20 |
10-0 |
| 2023-11-18 |
North Alabama |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 58-13 |
11-0 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@Florida |
35.39 |
18.16 |
-17.23 |
53.55 |
77.64% |
W 24-15 |
12-0 |
| 2023-12-03 |
Louisville |
28.24 |
16.18 |
-12.06 |
44.42 |
69.34% |
W 16-6 |
13-0 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-30 |
Georgia |
24.37 |
22.40 |
-1.97 |
46.77 |
53.16% |
L 3-63 |
13-1 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 13-1 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 5-9 |
0.00% |
| 6-8 |
0.04% |
| 7-7 |
0.30% |
| 8-6 |
1.76% |
| 9-5 |
6.55% |
| 10-4 |
15.97% |
| 11-3 |
26.35% |
| 12-2 |
27.67% |
| 13-1 |
16.88% |
| 14-0 |
4.49% |